Babelsberg 3-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 32%
+23% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.90/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.18
+13% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
05.05.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 6-2 HT 2-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
05.10.2019 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
20.04.2013 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt AL3
13.11.2012 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babelsberg
3-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg saw off Rot-Weiss Erfurt 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Babelsberg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Babelsberg had 59% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Erfurt's 41%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babelsberg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Babelsberg and 1.50 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Babelsberg 3-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 44%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babelsberg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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