AS Eupen 1-3 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
9.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 32%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.48/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.54
-40% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
30.0 Crosses 21.4
7.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.55 xG 2.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
342 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
1-3
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
0.80 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
314 Passes 296
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen beat AS Eupen 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Lierse Kempenzonen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AS Eupen had 51% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 49%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.80 to 1.35.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

AS Eupen 1-3 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 38%, draw 25%, Lierse Kempenzonen 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AS Eupen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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