Lierse Kempenzonen 3-0 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.24/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.37
+5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 81%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
3-0
AWAY AS Eupen
2.15 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
321 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen ran out comfortable winners over AS Eupen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was AS Eupen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 49% of the ball to AS Eupen's 51%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.15 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs AS Eupen?

Lierse Kempenzonen 3-0 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated an AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 31%, draw 24%, AS Eupen 46%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AS Eupen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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