Patro Eisden 4-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.44/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.63
+17% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 70%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
18.1 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.38 xG 0.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 3-1 HT 1-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
22.10.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 0-0 HT 0-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
4-1
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.71 xG 0.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
26 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
225 Passes 316
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden ran out comfortable winners over Boussu Dour Borinage 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Patro Eisden as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 43% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 57%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 1.71 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Patro Eisden had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Patro Eisden and 0.50 for Boussu Dour Borinage.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Patro Eisden 4-1 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 41%, draw 31%, Boussu Dour Borinage 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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