Patro Eisden 3-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.08
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 27% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.6pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 28%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.00/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.24
+25% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
13.1 Crosses 12.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.71 xG 0.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 335
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 0-0 HT 0-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
3-1
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
2.04 xG 0.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
291 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden saw off Boussu Dour Borinage 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Patro Eisden as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 47% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 53%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.04 to 0.30.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Patro Eisden 3-1 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 46%, draw 33%, Boussu Dour Borinage 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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