RFC Liege 1-4 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 4 Feb 2024

RFC Liege
1-4 HT 0-1
Beerschot VA
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

RFC Liege vs Beerschot VA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
8%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RFC Liege v Beerschot VA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 46%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +25%
1.64/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.10
-22% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
25.6 Crosses 14.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

RFC Liege vs Beerschot VA Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Beerschot VA
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.44 xG 1.83
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 7
241 Passes 615
76% Pass Accuracy 91%
14 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 3-0 HT 2-0 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2

RFC Liege 1-4 Beerschot VA — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
1-4
AWAY Beerschot VA
0.93 xG 3.98
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 28
1 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 5
184 Passes 530
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Box Touches 44
13 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA swept aside RFC Liege 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beerschot VA as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, RFC Liege had 30% of the ball to Beerschot VA's 70%, shots finished 7-28, expected goals 0.93 to 3.98.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Beerschot VA?

RFC Liege 1-4 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - 1st Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 30%, draw 26%, Beerschot VA 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beerschot VA) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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