RFC Seraing 1-3 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.14/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.93
+0% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.2
17.2 Crosses 17.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
0W-1D-0L
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.01 xG 2.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 22
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
286 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 48
29 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-1 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
1-3
AWAY KRC Genk II
0.72 xG 2.56
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 7
334 Passes 221
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II beat RFC Seraing 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; KRC Genk II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 57% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 43%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.72 to 2.56.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs KRC Genk II?

RFC Seraing 1-3 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated an KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 36%, draw 26%, KRC Genk II 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KRC Genk II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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