Beerschot VA 1-1 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Feb 2025

Beerschot VA
1-1 HT 1-0
Sporting Charleroi
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Beerschot VA vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.49
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.4
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
11%
8.36
X/2
14%
4.41
X/X
14%
4.91
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.43
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.4 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+6.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beerschot VA v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 55%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.44/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.08
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
17.4 Crosses 21.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Beerschot VA vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.07 xG 2.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 365
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
25.02.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
28.08.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 5-2 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
07.04.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
18.09.2020 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-1 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
11.05.2019 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA and Sporting Charleroi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Beerschot VA and 3.00 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Sporting Charleroi?

Beerschot VA 1-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 31%, draw 26%, Sporting Charleroi 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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