Plymouth Argyle vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plymouth Argyle v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Plymouth Argyle vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Liverpool
FAK
0-0
HT 0-0
Plymouth Argyle
FAK
Plymouth Argyle 1-0 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Plymouth Argyle edged past Liverpool 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 25% of the ball to Liverpool's 75%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.25 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 0.50 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Liverpool?
Plymouth Argyle 1-0 Liverpool in the England - FA Cup on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 22%, draw 20%, Liverpool 58%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 went the other way.