Plymouth Argyle vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Plymouth Argyle v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Plymouth Argyle vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Plymouth Argyle 1-0 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Plymouth Argyle found just enough to beat Liverpool 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool at 81% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (72%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 25% of the ball to Liverpool's 75%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.25 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 0.50 for Liverpool.
Plymouth Argyle vs Liverpool Result & Final Score
Plymouth Argyle 1 - 0 Liverpool in the England - FA Cup on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Plymouth Argyle vs Liverpool Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 8%, draw 11%, Liverpool 81%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.