Aston Villa 2-1 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 9 Feb 2025

Aston Villa
2-1 HT 1-0
Tottenham
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
35%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.16
2-3 Goals
40%
2.09
4-5 Goals
29%
2.46
6+ Goals
13%
5.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.09
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.68
X/2
12%
9.72
X/X
9%
6.91
2/1
8%
18.35
2/2
16%
6.34
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
22%
+13.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aston Villa v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.93/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/3.49
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -52%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
375 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.0 Crosses 31.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tottenham
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.38 xG 1.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
332 Passes 474
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 4-1 HT 0-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
10.03.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0-4 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
26.11.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-2 HT 1-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
13.05.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-1 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
01.01.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 0-2 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
09.04.2022 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0-4 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP

Aston Villa 2-1 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa
2-1
AWAY Tottenham
2.16 xG 1.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
384 Passes 350
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aston Villa vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa edged past Tottenham 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Aston Villa had 51% of the ball to Tottenham's 49%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.16 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aston Villa and 2.33 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Tottenham?

Aston Villa 2-1 Tottenham in the England - FA Cup on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 44%, draw 21%, Tottenham 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
9 Feb 2025
15:30 Blackburn Rovers vs Wolverhampton Analysis →
18:00 Plymouth Argyle vs Liverpool Analysis →