Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tottenham v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tottenham 4-1 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Tottenham ran out comfortable winners over Aston Villa 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 51% to 49% in Tottenham's favour, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.44 to 1.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Tottenham against 1.17 for Aston Villa.
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Result & Final Score
Tottenham 4 - 1 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 51%, draw 23%, Aston Villa 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.