Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tottenham v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Aston Villa
İNP
2-1
HT 1-0
Tottenham
İNP
0-2
HT 0-0
Aston Villa
İNP
0-4
HT 0-1
Tottenham
İNP
2-1
HT 1-0
Aston Villa
İNP
Tottenham 4-1 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Tottenham ran out comfortable winners over Aston Villa 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Tottenham had 51% of the ball to Aston Villa's 49%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.44 to 1.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tottenham and 1.17 for Aston Villa.
What was the final score of Tottenham vs Aston Villa?
Tottenham 4-1 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Aston Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 48%, draw 24%, Aston Villa 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.