Manchester United 1-1 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

Manchester United
1-1 HT 0-0
Chelsea
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester United vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.35
2-3 Goals
36%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.52
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
6%
11.55
X/1
16%
6.2
X/2
10%
6.1
X/X
18%
5.39
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
18%
3.44
2/X
6%
11.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea EU Bookmakers 40%
+20% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.65/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.64
+53% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 82%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
15.5 Crosses 13.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4

Manchester United vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Chelsea
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.19 xG 2.03
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
319 Passes 475
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.04.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 4-3 HT 2-2 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
06.12.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
25.05.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 4-1 HT 2-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
22.10.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 1-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
28.04.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 1-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
28.11.2021 Chelsea Chelsea 1-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Manchester United 1-1 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
1-1
AWAY Chelsea
1.98 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
322 Passes 397
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 19
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Chelsea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United and Chelsea couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Manchester United had 46% of the ball to Chelsea's 54%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.98 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manchester United and 1.50 for Chelsea.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Chelsea?

Manchester United 1-1 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Chelsea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 36%, draw 29%, Chelsea 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
3 Nov 2024
17:00 Tottenham vs Aston Villa Analysis →