Hong Kong Rangers 1-2 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
56%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.3pp
23%
Draw
14%
+9.2pp
56%
Away Win
76%
-20.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 81%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
0.79/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.56/0.62
+3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
268 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong Rangers
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kitchee
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 8-0 HT 4-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
17.02.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
23.12.2023 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 4-4 Kitchee Kitchee HONSAP
24.09.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 2-0 HT 1-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
13.05.2023 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 1-7 HT 1-3 Kitchee Kitchee HONFK
18.02.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 2-1 HT 1-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong Rangers
1-2
AWAY Kitchee
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hong Kong Rangers vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee squeezed past Hong Kong Rangers 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kitchee as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hong Kong Rangers had 39% of the ball to Kitchee's 61%, shots finished 3-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hong Kong Rangers and 4.00 for Kitchee.

What was the final score of Hong Kong Rangers vs Kitchee?

Hong Kong Rangers 1-2 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong Rangers vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong Rangers 21%, draw 23%, Kitchee 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitchee), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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