Hong Kong Rangers 0-1 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
49%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
13%
+13.8pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.1pp
49%
Away Win
70%
-21.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 75%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
0.76/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.32/0.99
-25% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -40%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong Rangers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kitchee
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 4-4 Kitchee Kitchee HONSAP
24.09.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 2-0 HT 1-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
13.05.2023 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 1-7 HT 1-3 Kitchee Kitchee HONFK
18.02.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 2-1 HT 1-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
08.01.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 1-2 HT 0-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HONSAP
06.11.2022 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-2 HT 0-0 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong Rangers
0-1
AWAY Kitchee
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hong Kong Rangers vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee edged past Hong Kong Rangers 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kitchee as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hong Kong Rangers had 42% of the ball to Kitchee's 58%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hong Kong Rangers and 3.00 for Kitchee.

What was the final score of Hong Kong Rangers vs Kitchee?

Hong Kong Rangers 0-1 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong Rangers vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong Rangers 27%, draw 24%, Kitchee 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitchee), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitchee) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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17 Feb 2024
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