Southern District RSA 1-1 Eastern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
47%
-13.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
41%
Away Win
27%
+13.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern EU Bookmakers 31%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.26
+150% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Eastern
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2024 Eastern Eastern 1-1 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONSAP
25.02.2023 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
14.01.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-2 HT 1-2 Eastern Eastern HK1
20.11.2021 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
30.04.2021 Eastern Eastern 2-1 HT 1-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
05.03.2021 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-5 HT 0-3 Eastern Eastern HK1
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southern District RSA and Eastern shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Eastern at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastern led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Southern District RSA and 1.67 for Eastern.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs Eastern?

Southern District RSA 1-1 Eastern in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs Eastern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 34%, draw 25%, Eastern 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eastern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eastern) ✓ BTTS Yes
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