Yuen Long 1-1 Central & Western — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
52%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.56
No
35%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+9.6pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.7pp
53%
Away Win
68%
-15.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.8pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Central & Western EU Bookmakers 72%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.49/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.19/1.24
+31% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Central & Western
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.12.2024 Central & Western Central & Western 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
10.03.2024 Central & Western Central & Western 2-3 HT 2-2 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
07.01.2024 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-2 HT 0-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
05.02.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-0 HT 0-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
23.10.2022 Central & Western Central & Western 2-2 HT 2-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
07.11.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 4-2 HT 1-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yuen Long
1-1
AWAY Central & Western
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Central & Western
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long and Central & Western couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Central & Western at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Yuen Long had 48% of the ball to Central & Western's 52%, shots finished 9-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yuen Long had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Yuen Long and 1.33 for Central & Western.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Central & Western?

Yuen Long 1-1 Central & Western in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Central & Western?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 24%, draw 24%, Central & Western 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central & Western) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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