Shatin SA 1-3 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.0pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 62%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.38/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.61
-69% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -23%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Citizen AA
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 5-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
19.05.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 2-5 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
10.12.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 1-1 HT 0-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
18.12.2022 Shatin SA Shatin SA 2-1 HT 2-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
17.10.2021 Shatin SA Shatin SA 2-1 HT 2-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA beat Shatin SA 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Citizen AA as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shatin SA had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Shatin SA and 2.00 for Citizen AA.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Citizen AA?

Shatin SA 1-3 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 26%, draw 24%, Citizen AA 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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