TransMara Sugar 4-1 Talanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Talanta EU Bookmakers 31%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.00/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.85
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransMara Sugar
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Talanta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
11.12.2024 Talanta 2-0 HT 1-0 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar KEN
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Talanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransMara Sugar swept aside Talanta 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had TransMara Sugar as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Talanta?

TransMara Sugar 4-1 Talanta in the Kenya - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Talanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransMara Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 41%, draw 32%, Talanta 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransMara Sugar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TransMara Sugar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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