Talanta 2-0 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 11 Dec 2024

Talanta
2-0 HT 1-0
TransMara Sugar
📅11/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Talanta vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.4pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Talanta v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talanta EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Talanta vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talanta beat TransMara Sugar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Talanta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Talanta vs TransMara Sugar?

Talanta 2-0 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talanta vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talanta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Talanta 37%, draw 31%, TransMara Sugar 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talanta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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