11/12/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Gor Mahia vs Shabana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
31%
Draw
28%
28%
Away Win
27%
62%
Under 2.5
57%
38%
Over 2.5
43%
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
62%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gor Mahia v Shabana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gor Mahia
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Shabana
EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
2.03/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.82/1.16
+138%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+4%
/
-34%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
309 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
344 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
0.0
Gor Mahia vs Shabana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Gor Mahia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Shabana
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
56%
Ball Possession
44%
5
Total Shots
5
2
Shots on Target
2
0
Corners
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Gor Mahia vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gor Mahia and Shabana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Gor Mahia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.
What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Shabana?
Gor Mahia 1-1 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Shabana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 41%, draw 31%, Shabana 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gor Mahia), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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11 Dec 2024