11/12/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Ulinzi Stars vs Bandari Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
17%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
34%
Draw
33%
26%
Away Win
31%
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
62%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ulinzi Stars v Bandari — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ulinzi Stars
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bandari
EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+30% /
+30%
0.50/0.52
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.43/0.00
-34%
/
+63%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-50%
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
320 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
265 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.5
Ulinzi Stars vs Bandari Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ulinzi Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Bandari
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
29.12.2021
Bandari
1-0
HT 1-0
Ulinzi Stars
KEN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Ulinzi Stars
KEN2
POST-MATCH
Ulinzi Stars vs Bandari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ulinzi Stars and Bandari couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Ulinzi Stars at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (75%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.
What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Bandari?
Ulinzi Stars 1-1 Bandari in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Bandari?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 41%, draw 34%, Bandari 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ulinzi Stars), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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11 Dec 2024