Ulinzi Stars 1-1 Bandari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
17%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.4pp
34%
Draw
33%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandari EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.50/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.00
-34% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulinzi Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bandari
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.12.2021 Bandari Bandari 1-0 HT 1-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
POST-MATCH Ulinzi Stars vs Bandari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulinzi Stars and Bandari couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ulinzi Stars at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (75%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Bandari?

Ulinzi Stars 1-1 Bandari in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Bandari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 41%, draw 34%, Bandari 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ulinzi Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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