Kariobangi Sharks 2-2 Nairobi City Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.4pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 25%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.99
+28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 0-1 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN2
04.12.2021 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 1-2 HT 0-1 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
2-2
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi City Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kariobangi Sharks and Nairobi City Stars shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kariobangi Sharks at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 60% of the ball to Nairobi City Stars's 40%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 1.00 for Nairobi City Stars.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi City Stars?

Kariobangi Sharks 2-2 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi City Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 42%, draw 33%, Nairobi City Stars 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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