Posta Rangers 1-1 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 48%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.39/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-59% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posta Rangers
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Homeboyz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers 2-1 HT 0-1 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
24.10.2021 Homeboyz Homeboyz 2-0 HT 1-0 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN2
POST-MATCH Posta Rangers vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Posta Rangers and Homeboyz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Homeboyz at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Posta Rangers and 1.50 for Homeboyz.

What was the final score of Posta Rangers vs Homeboyz?

Posta Rangers 1-1 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posta Rangers vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Posta Rangers 28%, draw 26%, Homeboyz 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Homeboyz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homeboyz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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