Leopards SC 4-1 Tusker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.4pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tusker EU Bookmakers 40%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.42/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.22
+100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leopards SC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tusker
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Tusker Tusker 1-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
26.09.2021 Leopards SC Leopards SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Tusker Tusker KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leopards SC
4-1
AWAY Tusker
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leopards SC vs Tusker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC ran out comfortable winners over Tusker 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Leopards SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leopards SC had 58% of the ball to Tusker's 42%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leopards SC and 0.50 for Tusker.

What was the final score of Leopards SC vs Tusker?

Leopards SC 4-1 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leopards SC vs Tusker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leopards SC 30%, draw 32%, Tusker 38%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tusker) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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