Niger Tornadoes 1-1 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.0pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.51/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.37
+13% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Plateau United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
22.09.2024 Plateau United Plateau United 1-2 HT 0-1 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
10.12.2023 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 2-3 HT 0-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niger Tornadoes
1-1
AWAY Plateau United
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes and Plateau United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Niger Tornadoes at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Niger Tornadoes had 55% of the ball to Plateau United's 45%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Niger Tornadoes and 2.00 for Plateau United.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Plateau United?

Niger Tornadoes 1-1 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 47%, draw 31%, Plateau United 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Niger Tornadoes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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