Plateau United 1-2 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plateau United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 19%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.19/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.13
+36% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plateau United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
10.12.2023 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 2-3 HT 0-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plateau United
1-2
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plateau United vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes edged past Plateau United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Plateau United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plateau United had 58% of the ball to Niger Tornadoes's 42%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Plateau United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Plateau United 1-2 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plateau United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plateau United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Plateau United 50%, draw 28%, Niger Tornadoes 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Plateau United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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