Sunshine Stars 0-0 Abia Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
31%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.6pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.8pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.8pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.61/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.97
-2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Stars
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Abia Warriors
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.03.2024 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
26.12.2021 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
20.06.2021 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 2-1 HT 2-1 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors NIJ
03.02.2021 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 4-1 HT 2-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunshine Stars
0-0
AWAY Abia Warriors
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sunshine Stars vs Abia Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Stars and Abia Warriors fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sunshine Stars at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sunshine Stars had 57% of the ball to Abia Warriors's 43%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Abia Warriors led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sunshine Stars and 1.50 for Abia Warriors.

What was the final score of Sunshine Stars vs Abia Warriors?

Sunshine Stars 0-0 Abia Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Stars vs Abia Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Stars 50%, draw 32%, Abia Warriors 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sunshine Stars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunshine Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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