Heartland 0-0 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 22 Sep 2024

Heartland
0-0 HT 0-0
Katsina United
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Heartland vs Katsina United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
18%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
49%
+8.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
18%
Away Win
22%
-4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heartland v Katsina United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heartland EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.34/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.60
+1% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Heartland vs Katsina United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heartland
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Katsina United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Heartland Heartland 1-1 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
16.05.2021 Heartland Heartland 2-0 HT 2-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
28.12.2020 Katsina United Katsina United 3-2 HT 1-1 Heartland Heartland NIJ
POST-MATCH Heartland vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heartland and Katsina United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Heartland at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Heartland and 1.33 for Katsina United.

What was the final score of Heartland vs Katsina United?

Heartland 0-0 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heartland vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heartland win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Heartland 57%, draw 25%, Katsina United 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Heartland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heartland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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