Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Recoleta v Nacional Asuncion — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 Nacional Asuncion — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Recoleta nicked a narrow win over Nacional Asuncion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Nacional Asuncion at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 45% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 55%, shots finished 17-10.
What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 33%, draw 27%, Nacional Asuncion 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) went the other way.