Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 59%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.35/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.84
+49% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
207 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 26.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
12.09.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
07.04.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-3 HT 1-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.01.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
25.10.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-5 HT 2-3 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
05.08.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1-0
AWAY Cerro Porteno
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense squeezed past Cerro Porteno 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 29% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 71%, shots finished 4-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 3.00 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 27%, draw 26%, Cerro Porteno 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
9 Feb 2025
00:15 Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion Analysis →