Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+6.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 54%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.09/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.85
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.09.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
07.04.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-3 HT 1-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.01.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
25.10.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-5 HT 2-3 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
05.08.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
17.04.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-2 HT 2-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
3-2
AWAY Cerro Porteno
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense nicked a narrow win over Cerro Porteno 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 40% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 60%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 3.17 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 27%, Cerro Porteno 42%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →