Cerro Porteno 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 12 Sep 2024

📅12/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +27%
2.22/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.49
+8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
34.0 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-3 HT 1-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.01.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
25.10.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-5 HT 2-3 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
05.08.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
17.04.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-2 HT 2-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
05.02.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-1
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno and Sportivo Trinidense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 54% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 46%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.17 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Cerro Porteno 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 50%, draw 28%, Sportivo Trinidense 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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