Sportivo Trinidense 1-3 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
37%
3.72
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.5pp
37%
Draw
24%
+13.1pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-13.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 57%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -8%
0.79/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.88
-26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.01.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
25.10.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 2-5 HT 2-3 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
05.08.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
17.04.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-2 HT 2-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
05.02.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1-3
AWAY Cerro Porteno
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno got the better of Sportivo Trinidense 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (24% / 37% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cerro Porteno found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 52% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 48%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 3.20 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

Sportivo Trinidense 1-3 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 24%, draw 37%, Cerro Porteno 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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