Libertad 2-1 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.54/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.91
-11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.01.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
02.10.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
17.07.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
14.04.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
28.01.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
27.10.2022 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-2 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
2-1
AWAY Club Guarani
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad nicked a narrow win over Club Guarani 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Libertad had 45% of the ball to Club Guarani's 55%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Libertad and 0.33 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Club Guarani?

Libertad 2-1 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Libertad 48%, draw 24%, Club Guarani 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
7 Apr 2024
01:00 Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno Analysis →