Club Guarani 1-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 52%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
0.87/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.97
-19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Libertad
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
17.07.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
14.04.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
28.01.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
27.10.2022 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-2 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
29.09.2022 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
1-1
AWAY Libertad
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani and Libertad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Club Guarani had 34% of the ball to Libertad's 66%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Club Guarani and 1.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Libertad?

Club Guarani 1-1 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 31%, draw 27%, Libertad 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Libertad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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