OFK Beograd 0-2 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.6pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.63/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.18
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 69%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
18.4 Crosses 15.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.38 xG 0.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 232
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-3 HT 1-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
08.03.2015 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
0-2
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
21 Total Shots 21
16 Shots on Target 16
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac beat OFK Beograd 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was OFK Beograd at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 21-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, OFK Beograd had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for OFK Beograd and 0.50 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac?

OFK Beograd 0-2 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 44%, draw 31%, Napredak Krusevac 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OFK Beograd), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
9 Feb 2025
16:00 Jedinstvo Ub vs Novi Pazar Analysis →
20:00 Radnicki Nis vs IMT Novi Beograd Analysis →
20:30 Spartak Subotica vs Zeleznicar Pancevo Analysis →