Napredak Krusevac 1-3 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.38/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.10
+16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.3 Crosses 26.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0W-0D-1L
AWAY OFK Beograd
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
08.03.2015 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1-3
AWAY OFK Beograd
0.42 xG 2.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
232 Passes 310
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd saw off Napredak Krusevac 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; OFK Beograd found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 45% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 55%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.42 to 2.38.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs OFK Beograd?

Napredak Krusevac 1-3 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 38%, draw 28%, OFK Beograd 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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