Novi Pazar 3-1 Jedinstvo Ub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 17%
-19% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.39/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.2 Crosses 20.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
3-1
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub
2.28 xG 0.48
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
395 Passes 180
75% Pass Accuracy 60%
45 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Jedinstvo Ub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar beat Jedinstvo Ub 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Novi Pazar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 63% of the ball to Jedinstvo Ub's 37%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.28 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Novi Pazar 3-1 Jedinstvo Ub in the Serbia - Super League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 50%, draw 26%, Jedinstvo Ub 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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