Kasımpaşa 3-2 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.43
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.01
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.05
X/1
11%
5.42
X/2
10%
6.84
X/X
10%
5.38
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
13%
4.3
2/X
8%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.52/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.48
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.4 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.85 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 358
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 HT 0-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
18.05.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
25.12.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
12.03.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
23.10.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
02.02.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
3-2
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.56 xG 1.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 11
366 Passes 290
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa squeezed past Çaykur Rizespor 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kasımpaşa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 54% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 46%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.56 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.00 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Kasımpaşa 3-2 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 47%, draw 24%, Çaykur Rizespor 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kasımpaşa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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