Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 30% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.62
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.63
X/2
8%
7.49
X/X
14%
5.26
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
11%
5.13
2/X
4%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.72/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.61
+17% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.2 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 2.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
371 Passes 303
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
25.12.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
12.03.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
23.10.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
02.02.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
20.09.2020 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
0-1
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.55 xG 1.23
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
416 Passes 237
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 13
39 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa nicked a narrow win over Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Çaykur Rizespor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 62% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 38%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.55 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 1.50 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa?

Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 46%, draw 28%, Kasımpaşa 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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