Adana Demirspor 1-5 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
60%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.88
2-3 Goals
38%
2.17
4-5 Goals
27%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
4.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
10.3
1/2
7%
18.65
1/X
5%
18.55
X/1
6%
15.65
X/2
23%
3.82
X/X
12%
8.55
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.59
2/X
6%
18.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
15%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
60%
Away Win
66%
-6.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.3pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 71%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
0.82/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.01
-100% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.9
11.0 Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Galatasaray
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.76 xG 2.23
42% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
275 Passes 400
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 46
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-3 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
08.12.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-1 HT 2-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
01.04.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
10.12.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor HAZ
01.10.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
16.05.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-2 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
1-5
AWAY Galatasaray
2.29 xG 2.45
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
252 Passes 381
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray swept aside Adana Demirspor 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 42% of the ball to Galatasaray's 58%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.29 to 2.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Adana Demirspor and 2.17 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Galatasaray?

Adana Demirspor 1-5 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 18%, draw 22%, Galatasaray 60%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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