Monastir 5-0 Gabes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 33% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.0pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.1pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+8.2pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monastir EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Gabes EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.05/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.71
+27% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monastir
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gabes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.09.2024 Gabes Gabes 0-0 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN1
19.05.2024 Monastir Monastir 2-0 HT 0-0 Gabes Gabes TNUSK
POST-MATCH Monastir vs Gabes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monastir cruised past Gabes 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monastir as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Monastir had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monastir and 0.00 for Gabes.

What was the final score of Monastir vs Gabes?

Monastir 5-0 Gabes in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monastir vs Gabes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Monastir 61%, draw 26%, Gabes 12%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monastir), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monastir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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