ES Metlaoui 1-0 Zarzis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.25
Over 2.5
29%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
11%
9.41
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.3pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
71%
Under 2.5
76%
-5.9pp
29%
Over 2.5
24%
+5.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.1pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Zarzis EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.12/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.51
+17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +104%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
236 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Zarzis
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
29.09.2024 Zarzis Zarzis 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
26.05.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 Zarzis Zarzis TUN
14.05.2022 Zarzis Zarzis 1-1 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs Zarzis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui nicked a narrow win over Zarzis 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day ES Metlaoui made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ES Metlaoui and 0.67 for Zarzis.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Zarzis?

ES Metlaoui 1-0 Zarzis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Zarzis?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 40%, draw 33%, Zarzis 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Metlaoui), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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