Zarzis 1-0 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.47
6+ Goals
11%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zarzis EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zarzis
0W-1D-1L
AWAY ES Metlaoui
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.05.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 Zarzis Zarzis TUN
14.05.2022 Zarzis Zarzis 1-1 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
POST-MATCH Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zarzis edged past ES Metlaoui 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zarzis as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, ES Metlaoui led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zarzis and 1.00 for ES Metlaoui.

What was the final score of Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui?

Zarzis 1-0 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zarzis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zarzis 43%, draw 29%, ES Metlaoui 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zarzis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zarzis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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