ES Tunis 2-2 Stade Tunisien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.81
No
64%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.35
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.7pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.27/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.39
-15% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stade Tunisien
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-0 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
05.03.2024 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN
13.04.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-2 HT 3-2 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TNUSK
25.01.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1A
21.12.2022 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-1 HT 1-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1A
01.05.2021 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs Stade Tunisien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis and Stade Tunisien shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. ES Tunis carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ES Tunis and 1.00 for Stade Tunisien.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Stade Tunisien?

ES Tunis 2-2 Stade Tunisien in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Stade Tunisien?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 60%, draw 22%, Stade Tunisien 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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