Stade Tunisien 2-0 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.08
2-3 Goals
49%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.19
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -81%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Tunisien
1W-0D-5L
AWAY ES Tunis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN
13.04.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-2 HT 3-2 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TNUSK
25.01.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1A
21.12.2022 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-1 HT 1-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1A
01.05.2021 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-1 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
23.01.2021 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-1 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1
POST-MATCH Stade Tunisien vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien got the better of ES Tunis 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Stade Tunisien found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stade Tunisien and 1.83 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of Stade Tunisien vs ES Tunis?

Stade Tunisien 2-0 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Tunisien vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stade Tunisien 30%, draw 31%, ES Tunis 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ES Tunis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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TUN More Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme
5 May 2024
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