Ben Guerdane 0-1 Olympique Beja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.66
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.26
Over 2.5
30%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.75
No
56%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.7
2-3 Goals
47%
2.01
4-5 Goals
13%
9.39
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.7pp
32%
Draw
34%
-2.5pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
70%
Under 2.5
76%
-5.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
24%
+5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.8pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.47/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.41
+15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ben Guerdane
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Olympique Beja
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 2-1 HT 1-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
10.03.2024 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
26.12.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 1-1 HT 1-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1A
23.09.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1A
04.06.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
18.03.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-1 HT 0-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
POST-MATCH Ben Guerdane vs Olympique Beja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Beja squeezed past Ben Guerdane 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ben Guerdane at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympique Beja led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ben Guerdane and 0.83 for Olympique Beja.

What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs Olympique Beja?

Ben Guerdane 0-1 Olympique Beja in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs Olympique Beja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ben Guerdane win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 43%, draw 32%, Olympique Beja 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ben Guerdane) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ben Guerdane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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