Ben Guerdane 0-1 Olympique Beja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.36
Over 2.5
27%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
24%
2.44
No
76%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
51%
1.87
2-3 Goals
32%
1.9
4-5 Goals
12%
7.49
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.87 — our 51% vs market 45.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
16%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
73%
Under 2.5
70%
+3.2pp
27%
Over 2.5
30%
-3.2pp
24%
BTTS Yes
37%
-12.6pp
76%
BTTS No
63%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 27%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.95
+121% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ben Guerdane
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Olympique Beja
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 1-1 HT 1-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1A
23.09.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1A
04.06.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
18.03.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 0-1 HT 0-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
30.01.2023 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 1-1 HT 1-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1B
31.01.2021 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ben Guerdane
0-1
AWAY Olympique Beja
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ben Guerdane vs Olympique Beja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympique Beja nicked a narrow win over Ben Guerdane 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ben Guerdane at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (76%) came in.

On the day, Ben Guerdane had 53% of the ball to Olympique Beja's 47%, shots finished 8-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ben Guerdane had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ben Guerdane and 0.50 for Olympique Beja.

What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs Olympique Beja?

Ben Guerdane 0-1 Olympique Beja in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs Olympique Beja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ben Guerdane win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 43%, draw 29%, Olympique Beja 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ben Guerdane) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ben Guerdane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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