Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 10 Mar 2024

Etoile Du Sahel
0-1 HT 0-0
ES Tunis
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme – 2023/2024

Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.69
Draw
38%
2.63
Away
28%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.22
Over 2.5
35%
4.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.81
No
59%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.59
2-3 Goals
35%
2.06
4-5 Goals
23%
10.75
6+ Goals
4%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
31%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
24%
+9.9pp
38%
Draw
35%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
41%
-13.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
78%
-13.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
22%
+13.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.9pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Etoile Du Sahel v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.15
+43% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -67%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
0W-1D-5L
AWAY ES Tunis
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 2.09
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 Passes 442
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 HT 0-2 ES Tunis ES Tunis AŞL
25.11.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel AŞL
10.06.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
25.04.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
30.01.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-2 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1A
12.01.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis squeezed past Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 38% / 28% — and on the day ES Tunis made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 1.50 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis?

Etoile Du Sahel 0-1 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 34%, draw 38%, ES Tunis 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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