Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 24 Feb 2024

Etoile Du Sahel
0-2 HT 0-2
ES Tunis
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2023/2024

Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.69
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Etoile Du Sahel v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.46/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.03
-65% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
9.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
14.2 Crosses 15.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
0W-2D-4L
AWAY ES Tunis
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.23 xG 2.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 309
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.11.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel AŞL
10.06.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
25.04.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
30.01.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-2 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1A
12.01.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
23.06.2022 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-1 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN

Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 ES Tunis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
0-2
AWAY ES Tunis
0.04 xG 1.76
34% Ball Possession 66%
2 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
250 Passes 576
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
3 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis got the better of Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day ES Tunis made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Etoile Du Sahel had 34% of the ball to ES Tunis's 66%, shots finished 2-18, expected goals 0.04 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 1.33 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis?

Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 ES Tunis in the CAF Champions League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 31%, draw 30%, ES Tunis 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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